السيسي فقد التحكم فى الاقتصاد

الدولار بدا أمامه قائد الانقلاب عبد الفتاح السيسي هزيلا ضعيفا لا يقوى على فعل شيء على الإطلاق.. حيث أكد خبراء أن الدولة بدأت تفقد cuvql-nw8aa7a8tالسيطرة على أدوات الاقتصاد، مثل كتلة صخرية تتدحرج من فوق جبل فلا يقوى أحد على وقفها، وأن مآلاها السقوط بصورة حتمية.
وبلا شك، فإن تدهور الأوضاع بات على كل لسان، حتى رئيس ائتلاف دعم مصر محمد السويدي اعترف بذلك، وأن الأوضاع كارثية لا يمكن الصمت حيالها.. فيما كشف تاجر عملة عن أسرار الأزمة وكيف ساهمت قرارات السيسي وحكومته في تفاقمها بدلا من وضع حد لها.
في السياق ذاته، واصل سعر الدولار الأمريكي ارتفاعه بالسوق السوداء «الموازية»، الإثنين، ليسجل 18.30 جنيها، وسط تنفيذات ضعيفة للعمليات، بينما استقر في السوق الرسمية بالبنوك والصرافات عند 8.88 جنيهات.
وقال متعاملون في السوق: إن «سعر العملة الأمريكية بلغ في السوق الموازية خلال تعاملات، الإثنين، 18 جنيها للشراء، و18.30 جنيها للبيع».
وأكد متعاملون في السوق الموازية ضعف التعاملات والتنفيذ على هذه الأسعار؛ انتظارا لما سيتخذه البنك المركزي من إجراءات، وكذلك ندرة المعروض من النقد الأجنبي، مشيرين إلى ارتفاع سعر الدينار الكويتي بالسوق السوداء وصل إلى 50 جنيها؛ لارتباطه ضمن العملات الرئيسية بتقييم الدولار.
تعويم الجنيه = فقدان التحكم في الاقتصاد
من جهته، حذر الخبير المصرفي أحمد سليم من قرار تعويم الجنيه، وأكد أنه سيعد قرارا كارثيا سيؤدي إلى فقد الدولة جميع أدوات التحكم في اقتصادها، مشيرا إلى أن إجراءات البنك المركزي للتحكم في سوق الصرف أصبحت ذات تأثير محدود، وأن قرار التعويم سيفقد السلطة النقدية كل أدواتها.
وقال سليم، بحسب تصريحاته اليوم في صحيفة “الشروق”: «الوضع الآن خارج حدود السيطرة ويتعدى كل ما درسناه في كتب الاقتصاد، ولا توجد له إلا روشتة واحدة في الوقت الحالي وهي تقليل الطلب على الدولار، عبر تقنين الاستيراد وقصره على القطاعات الحيوية فقط مثل الأدوية والسلع الضرورية، وتتولى الدولة الاستيراد عبر قنواتها الحكومية، على الأقل لمدة سنة»، مضيفا «لن تتمكن الدولة من السيطرة على السوق الموازية التي أدت إلى ارتفاع سعر الدولار ليتجاوز حاجز الـ17 جنيها، إلا بقرارات قاسية تمنع استيراد السلع غير الضرورية وتقنن من استيراد باقي السلع إلا عبر القنوات الرسمية، حتى يتم خفض الطلب على الدولار».
وبحسب الخبير، فإن الدولة لا تملك أخذ خيار تحرير سعر الصرف في الوقت الحالي، “لا نملك التعويم ولا نملك أدواته، وسيفقد الدولة القدرة على التحكم في اقتصادها، ولا يوجد حل سوى منع الطلب على الدولار، وعدم فتح أية اعتمادات جديدة، حتى يتم الالتزام بالاعتمادات القائمة والارتباطات الدولية مع الموردين”.
وكانت كريستين لاجارد، مديرة صندوق النقد الدولي، قد أشارت من قبل إلى أن مصر تمر بأزمة على مستوى سعر صرف عملتها، ودعت في مقابلة تلفزيونية مع شبكة بلومبرج، إلى ضرورة الإسراع بخفض قيمة الجنيه لتضييق الفارق بين السعرين الرسمي والموازي.
تجار العملة: الحكومة هي السبب
تاجر عملة بمحافظة الجيزة، طلب عدم ذكر اسمه، قال: إن الأزمة الحقيقية تكمن في عدم توفير الحكومة لما يحتاجه المستوردون وخاصة شركات الاستيراد الكبرى من كميات من العملة الصعبة وخاصة الدولار، ما يدفع هذه الشركات إلى اللجوء إلى السوق السوداء والحصول على الدولار بأي سعر، ومن هنا تنشأ المضاربات وتتفاقم الأزمة.
ولحل الأزمة يرى أنه على الحكومة والبنك المركزي توفير الدولارات التي يحتاجها المستوردون؛ لأنه حال حصول المستورد على ما يحتاجه من العملة الصعبة عن طريق البنوك، فإنه لن يلجأ إلى السوق السوداء، ويصبح تحت يد تجار العملة والمضاربين على الدولار.
وتراجعت مصادر الدخل القومي الرئيسية بصورة حادة، حيث انخفضت إيرادات السياحة والتصدير وقناة السويس وتحويلات المصريين بالخارج، ما أدى إلى خلق أزمة كبيرة في سوق الدولار.
“دعم مصر” يعترف: الوضع الاقتصادي كارثي
من جانبه، اعترف محمد السويدى، رئيس ائتلاف دعم مصر الموالي لسلطات الانقلاب والمصنوع في أروقة المخابرات، أن الوضع الاقتصادى فى مصر كارثي ولا يجوز الصمت عليه، فى ظل العجز والتقصير الحكومى، وارتفاع الأسعار بشكل كبير”.
جاء ذلك فى الجلسة العامة لبرلمان العسكر، اليوم الإثنين، مقرا بأن الأوضاع سيئة وخاصة فيما يتعلق بالنقد الأجنبى، لافتا إلى وجود عجز كبير بسبب نقص السياحة وغيرها من المصادر الخاصة؛ متهما الحكومة بالتقصير، وأنه كان عليها أن تأخذ قرارات لحل مشكلة السيولة وتوقف المصانع والمشروعات.
وشدد السويدي على أن مشكلة الدولار تمثل أزمة كبيرة وسط عجز حكومى كبير، واقترح في سبيل حلها استصدار إيصالات للشركات سواء القابضة أو العالمية أو متعددى الجنسيات والاستثمار الأجنبى التى تلجأ للسوق الموازى للحصول على الدولار.
وأضاف أنه كنائب لا يسامح نفسه على الموافقة خلال دور الانعقاد الأول على تغليظ العقوبة فى التعامل بالنقد (شركات الصرافة) قبل أن يستمع من البنك المركزى عن كيفية تدبير الدولار.
وتوجه للحكومة متسائلا عن كيفية حصول المستثمرين على دولارت من أجل الاستمرار فى عملهم.. مطالبا بإجراءات فورية لمواجهة الأزمة.

129 تعليق

  1. Was totally stuck until I read this, now back up and runginn.

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  3. Jon-Your comment demonstrates one of the precise points I’ve been trying to make for some time: that anti-smoking advocates seem unable to deal with the science on its merits. When they see a commentary they don’t like or a position with which they don’t want to agree, they attack the bearer of the message, rather than dealing with the scientific issues at hand.The fact that Sullum may or may not have received money from the tobacco industry DOES NOT JUSTIFY USING AN INACCURATE AND SCIENTIFICALLY INVALID CLAIM.

  4. There are some interesting deadlines on this article however I don’t know if I see all of them middle to heart. There’s some validity however I’ll take maintain opinion until I look into it further. Good article , thanks and we want extra! Added to FeedBurner as well

  5. I love them!!!! you did such a good job!!! and the pictures of dezi are perfect!!! I love how you caught him mid-air =D love, love, love!!!!!!!

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  10. The close up looks like a big pancake. Now Im hungry.Interesting concept though. I have never shot an AR Pistol so Im not sure how nessescarry it is. It wont be long before we have to pay $200 to Uncle Sam before buying one.

  11. Ah,Vix,my legendary minx!! Wonderful skirts!I love those simple shapes,and the 70's patterns are best-esp as they tend to fit my body so much better than modern patterns!You've inspired me to do a similar post,darling,if you don't mind!Much of my material is opshopped,too.Mmmmmm.Love!!! Helga xxxXXXxxx

  12. Wast of time! I … Wast of time! I suggest you should persuade members of the military to mutiny then arrest the tyrant Obomber citing the constitution and his illegal suspension of habeas corpus. Was this answer helpful?

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  14. Hello Mary, Happy Pink Saturday! Thank you so much for stopping by and leaving a sweet comment. This looks delish! I'll have to try it!Blessings, ShirlShirls Rose Cottage

  15. SLR Photography Tips…After the vacation glow has faded and you?ve gone back to the daily grind, photographs can be a pleasant reminder of your trip and an inspiration for journeys to come. We?ve put together some tips that?ll help you make even better vacation pictures….

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  17. Gorgeous jewelry! I love the simplicity of the design. My favorites are the Libra and Sculptor Bracelets (I couldn't pick just one)! These are great for gifts for the upcoming holiday season 🙂

  18. Your articles are for when it absolutely, positively, needs to be understood overnight.

  19. Yes, it’s a great stroke. We like to teach Old English Backstroke with arms under the water because it’s a very easy way to practise keeping the head, neck, back stable and adding simple movements which are easy to coordinate. For people who are less confident in water, arms coming over the head can be problematic but this is really just a development of the stroke we show here.

  20. faboulously sunny day out at Wallowbarrow earlier this year. My last previous climb of any note was Behind The Lines at Hodge Close back in June 2009 – I really must get out

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  22. Losing Curzi could not have hurt that much as they will be playing in the county finals Friday. Also I am hearing that Gill just lost big to Rutgers Prep in the Prep state finals. Voorhees vs NH on Friday should a great game, Voorhees lost to NH twice this year, I can’t see it happening a third time, good luck to all teams playing the county finals.

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  24. #36 JD, if he keeps shooting like he is, he’ll get 50.I can’t see the game (watching GameCast), but it seems like KB24 is taking WAAYYYY to many shots, or is Devin Brown on him??

  25. Dat ziet er goed uit. Wat een stapel die zal jullie van de winter heerlijk warm houden, ik weet waar ik heen moet als ik het hier niet meer warm krijg LOL.

  26. Hi there! This post couldn’t be written any better! Reading this post reminds me of my old room mate! He always kept talking about this. I will forward this article to him. Fairly certain he will have a good read. Thank you for sharing!

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  29. It looks like you are settling in and making the space your own 🙂 Your bunting reminds me of the collars on little girls dresses and I adore your hoop wall 🙂

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  32. Thank you Dear Fawn……Thank you so much….that was fabulous!It is so nice to be invited in. It is so nice and bright and light and beautiful and feminine and creatively expressive.And I love your dress or top and jewelry….nice, nice, nice!It inspires me to be more expressive…..although my space pretty much me and many phases too!BethThe Good Energy Girl

  33. la idea original fué de un compatriota tuyo que vive en El Tigre y ahora está haciendo una pasantía aca en Ec, él fué el del guión, sonido, arreglos

  34. Freut mich sehr, dass es dir gefällt. Das Stück wird gerade noch geprüft. Es wird hoffentlich nicht mehr lange dauern. Liebe Grüße, Anke

  35. En effet, par expérience, laisser son plat mijoté en mode réchaud trop longtemps fera que votre recette « figera ». Privilégier des recettes qui demandent un long temps de cuisson, par exemple, si votre recette traditionnelle demande de 50 minutes à trois heures de cuisson, faites cuire de 8 à 12 heures, à basse température.

  36. Sylvia, thanks for directing our attention to the UNESCO drivel. Yes, I understood it very well. I have no problem with French. Yes, what UNESCO wrote is shocking, but I was more shocked by the position of the goon from 972. So I only responded to that. That irritated me even more since I am too much acquainted with people like that. Anon, of course none of us today lived in the Rambam's time. But I think that the account of a forced conversion, a conversion under duress, is generally accepted by historians. Please tell us who does not accept the account of a conversion.

  37. Mine is a necklace with a small hoop bearing a crescent moon, a star and a tiny rectangle upon which is imprinted the word “Imagine.” (It’s the necklace that started .) And I would love, love, love a bracelet, although I might have to conceal it from my pint-sized bracelet aficionado. Just about to tweet this, too!

  38. Dann ab nach Riverside – da läuft alles seit Release (abgesehen von den Login Problemen) stabil – und seit dem 2. Tag war er auch nicht mehr “voll”

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  41. Howdy! This post could not be written any better! Reading through this post reminds me of my old room mate! He always kept talking about this. I will forward this write-up to him. Pretty sure he will have a good read. Thanks for sharing!

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  43. Katharina I am so sorry to hear of the loss of your friend's father…what a difficult thing to go through…sending my blessings your way for you and the family. Your card is so beautiful for them! I love how you have used the grommet on there for the ribbon to be woven through! Beautiful work hun!Hugs~ Kim

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  73. Certes le move est (enfin, a l'air) simple, mais tout est dans la texture du board. Dis en nous plus sur le "contexte" à ton prochain billet "éducatif". Je ferai peut être un post sur le floating.. juste pour compléter bien sûr…

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